Extensive
study on India’s nuclear forces that recently published in the Bulletin of
Atomic Scientists reads that the main concentration of India’s nuclear strategy
has shifted from Pakistan to China.
The authors, Hans M. Kristensen and Matt
Korda have said, “India’s nuclear strategy, which has traditionally focused on
Pakistan, now appears to place increased emphasis on China and Beijing is now
in the range of Indian missiles”. While, Kristensen is the director of the
Nuclear Information Project with the Federation of American Scientists in
Washington, DC, Korda is a research associate for the Nuclear Information
Project at the Federation of American Scientists. The authors point out that
India’s nuclear modernization indicates that it is putting increased emphasis
on its future strategic relationship with China. The analysis reveals that
India’s China focused approach is likely to contribute to development and
deployment of new capabilities over the next 10 years and is also likely to
impact India’s approach towards Pakistan.
As per the report, the country’s nuclear
triad was believed to be officially accomplished following the announcement of
completion of the first deterrence patrol of indigenous nuclear-powered
ballistic missile submarine INS Arihant, by Indian PM, Narendra Modi couple of
years ago. The authors highlighted, “At least three more systems are in
development, of which several are nearing completion and will soon be
combat-ready, Beijing is now in range of Indian ballistic missiles”. On the air
front, India will to add the Rafale, which is used for the nuclear mission in
the French Air Force, in addition to the Mirage 2000H and Jaguar IS
aircraft. The Indian Air Force is likely
to phase out its Jaguar fleet over the next 15 years. Researchers also stressed
that the extra range would allow the Indian military to establish Agni-V bases
in central and southern India, further away from the Chinese border.